Reported 12 months ago
According to the latest polls, the ruling Conservative Party led by Prime Minister Sunak may face a major defeat in the upcoming UK general election on July 4, with only 64 seats left, the lowest since the party's inception. The opposition Labour Party is expected to sweep 484 seats, breaking the 1997 record. Surveys indicate a significant lead for Labour over the Conservatives, with Labour potentially receiving over 20% more support. The Conservative Party may only achieve 20% of the popular vote, less than half of their 43.5% in 2019, marking the lowest in modern British history. Labour, led by Keir Starmer, is poised to win overwhelmingly, potentially securing 484 seats, over 159 more than the majority threshold, surpassing Tony Blair's 1997 record. In contrast, after 14 years in power, the Conservative Party may suffer a drastic decline in seats from 344 to 64, barely above the forecasted 61 seats for the centrist Liberal Democrats, creating a humiliating scenario unseen since the party's formation in 1834. The right-leaning UK Reform Party is expected to win 7 seats. Despite the Conservatives' dire prospects, Prime Minister Sunak vowed to continue campaigning fiercely, with former PM Johnson also rallying support for the party. However, political analyst John Curtice cast doubts on Sunak's chances, suggesting his re-election odds are slim. Recent polls show Sunak is the least popular incumbent PM in 50 years, with 75% of respondents deeming him unfit for the role.
Source: YAHOO