Reported about 1 year ago
As Keelung Mayor Xie Guoliang faces a recall, with the second phase expected to be reached soon and a possible vote in September, while Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hongan's recall has already begun last month, media personality Huang Yangming analyzes the mobilization rates of both based on past election data, emphasizing that there is no 'cold war' advantage in facing a recall. He highlights the importance of factors like 'constituency political structure,' 'hatred level towards the recall target,' and 'legitimacy and issue diffusion of the recall initiators' in determining the difficulty of a recall. Huang Yangming's analysis involves dividing the number of votes needed for recall by the non-supporters of the target to gauge the difficulty level, with Xie Guoliang's facing higher hurdles than Gao Hongan. However, he stresses that once the recall petition passes the second phase, the targets of the recall lack any advantage in a potential 'cold war.'
Source: YAHOO